Market Insanity

Speculative bubbles have been around for a long time. Whether it's a single item or a broad generality like real estate, they have the seeming power to make your wildest dreams come true or to destroy entire economies.

The Dutch Tulip Mania was the first recorded speculative bubble back in the late 1600's. Tulips were highly prized flowers and the bulbs weren't exactly cheap. But a group of investors saw them as a way to make money - big money. They started bidding prices up and up and tempting more people into the bubble, until a single bulb could be "worth" several years of actual wages.
 
Then one day a few people finally said "This is crazy. They're only flowers. Beautiful flowers, but just flowers." Over a matter of a few weeks the prices plummeted and lost 95+% of their "value" and wiped out the entire life savings of a lot of very foolish people.

Bubbles have been blowing up on a regular basis for quite a while now. The dot coms and real estate are only the two most recent to pop.

But they're back. All those trillions of dollars the FED has been pumping into the economy since 2008 haven't been invested in actual productive pursuits, but into speculative investments. Propping up companies that should have gone under (bail outs anyone?). Starting of companies that should never have been started (think Solyndra). Projects that never got off the ground. Real estate again. Dot com again. Multi billion dollar buyouts. Lusting after the Next Big Thing.

I don't expect a pop in the next few months, but I'd be surprised if it was more than a couple of years away and this one could be a lot bigger than the last. A whole lot of paper wealth is going to disappear and there's even more dominos lined up to fall over this time. Time to be thinking about battening down your financial hatches.

Report This Post

Posted in Economics.